Average [and range] across all polls incl. last night:

Conservatives 43% [41-47]
Labour 29% [28-32]
Lib Dem 15% [12-18]#Brexit Party 3% [3-5]
Green 3% [2-5]

14-point lead for Cons, 18 days to go
Simple swing-based model = majority 80-100#Ge2019 #Marr

— Matt Goodwin (@GoodwinMJ) November 24, 2019