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So, what does everyone think of xG - good or bad?


Dr Gloom
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Holden McGroin

You factor in the old xH (heart) variable to get a more realistic value.

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5 hours ago, LongTimeAdmirer said:

liverpool scored 7 from xG of 2.79

 

whats the point of it ?

 

There's no point.

That's the point.

The whole xG thing was invented to increase traffic on footy bulletin boards.

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I think it’s probably a useful analytical tool. From a professional / academic pov. I’ve got next to no interest in discussing it much though. 

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The Fish
6 hours ago, LongTimeAdmirer said:

liverpool scored 7 from xG of 2.79

 

whats the point of it ?

Election 2020 Lol GIF by Joe Biden

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Toonpack
1 hour ago, Alex said:

I think it’s probably a useful analytical tool. From a professional / academic pov. I’ve got next to no interest in discussing it much though. 

Please Please GIFs | Tenor

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Howmanheyman
29 minutes ago, Toonpack said:

image.png.60ceba29503b925c39095b8d6c5bfdde.png

 

 

 

Christina's idea of work and mine differ a little. :lol:

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The Fish
On 20/03/2023 at 02:53, LongTimeAdmirer said:

The xG crowd just taking the piss now

 

0OcMvMj.png

I like this stat. Seen something similar with goal kicks too.

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Monkeys Fist
1 hour ago, The Fish said:

I like this stat. Seen something similar with goal kicks too.

It’s a bit of mouthful though. 
 

Needs a snappy abbreviation, like NPxGAT. 

 

:whistle:

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The Fish
On 12/05/2023 at 17:04, Dr Gloom said:

We are underperforming our xG, apparently. Make of that what you will

 

https://theathletic.com/4510071/2023/05/12/premier-league-xg-scoring/?source=user_shared_article

And when you consider Almiron, Wilson and Isak are significantly overperforming their xG you have to look at the drop off in midfield and defence.

 

image.png.425405490e0721a4999957f339539cf2.png

 

Willock is the most wasteful.

What's killing us is set pieces, we're creating so many good opportunities but our defenders haven't scored a single goal from them. In fact, our only goals from defenders were Schar's thunderbastard against Forest in our first game and Trippier's freekick against Man City in our 3rd game.

 

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Renton
9 minutes ago, The Fish said:

And when you consider Almiron, Wilson and Isak are significantly overperforming their xG you have to look at the drop off in midfield and defence.

 

image.png.425405490e0721a4999957f339539cf2.png

 

Willock is the most wasteful.

What's killing us is set pieces, we're creating so many good opportunities but our defenders haven't scored a single goal from them. In fact, our only goals from defenders were Schar's thunderbastard against Forest in our first game and Trippier's freekick against Man City in our 3rd game.

 

 

You don't need spreadsheets and xG to tell you that though. Does this include corners btw? I can't seem to find any information on that and my memory for goals is shit. I did find we have won the most corners of any PL side mind, 249 of the bastards this season! Have we fucking not converted any of them? 

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The Fish
15 minutes ago, Renton said:

 

You don't need spreadsheets and xG to tell you that though. Does this include corners btw? I can't seem to find any information on that and my memory for goals is shit. I did find we have won the most corners of any PL side mind, 249 of the bastards this season! Have we fucking not converted any of them? 

There is, I've asked someone on twitter to provide

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Gemmill
24 minutes ago, Renton said:

 

You don't need spreadsheets and xG to tell you that though. Does this include corners btw? I can't seem to find any information on that and my memory for goals is shit. I did find we have won the most corners of any PL side mind, 249 of the bastards this season! Have we fucking not converted any of them? 

 

Screenshot_20230515_150735_Chrome.thumb.jpg.b1b2293f62f287e1b1ff42ddb7e65dd7.jpg

 

We're massively underperforming our xG from corners and set pieces as per the above.

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Gemmill
11 minutes ago, The Fish said:

There is, I've asked someone on twitter to provide

 

Understat.com is class. That's where I got the above table from.

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Renton

I don't get it like. I thought all our goals came from scrappy set pieces, throw ins etc. But this implies we score mainly from open play like Barcelona, Brazil, or the mackems?  

 

image.png.7ddef5f399c5328df58023ec109733d1.png

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Holden McGroin

It’s hard to work out if they are joking or not half the time.

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Toonpack

The maddening thing is Scharr gets on the end of loads of corners but couldn't hit a barn door, he must wear some form of handsomeness cloaking device but his head is in reality like this:

 

image.png.ab9598ddc576107baaec4275fe38af14.png

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Renton
6 minutes ago, Holden McGroin said:

It’s hard to work out if they are joking or not half the time.

 

No, it's not a joke. Part of their coping mechanism, like their imagined "classiness", is that we are ultimately hoofball merchants and regarded as the Luton of the PL. And they really do believe that they are 1970s Brazil. It's mind boggling. 

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Toonpack

As for being "dirty" we're not in top 10 of Prem league for fouls committed.

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Dr Gloom
26 minutes ago, Gemmill said:

 

Understat.com is class. That's where I got the above table from.

 

the simpsons nerd GIF

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