The Fish
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Posts posted by The Fish
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Ok, that's enough of that. Fingers on lips, bums on seats now. You've all got work you should be doing.
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5 minutes ago, zico martin said:
Alleged abuse took place 2 decades ago though so can't be him?
This time.
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38 minutes ago, Renton said:
I hate them personally. I also just don't get how people can afford to spend so much money travelling to places as far away as Prague etc or even Las Vegas for them. Boring maybe but I'd much rather go on a city break with my family, not that I can afford to.
It's true though once in your 40s wedding and stag do's tend to end, few people would have a stag for a second marriage (need to ask Gemmill about that). Then, you hit 50s and suddenly its all funerals.
A mate invited me to his stag in Glasgow. It would have cost me £500 for travel, hotel and "activities", that's before food and drink. For a Stag in Glasgow.
I did go to his second stag in Bristol, for 1/2 the price, so I think I made the right choice.
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51 minutes ago, wykikitoon said:
Who's recently announced he's leaving his job and will likely be fleeing to a country without an extradition agreement...
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18 hours ago, Gemmill said:
Turning people's work lives upside down, giving them an effective pay cut through commuting costs, and giving them less than a month's notice that it's happening man.
There'll be people with dogs that will now have to go to day care, kids that will need picking up from school by someone, etc etc.
And all for what man, it's not gonna improve the performances on the pitch one iota if the admin assistant on £18k a year comes into the office or not.
He's obviously just a proper, nasty cunt.
Just typical of top-down thinking. Outmoded ideas that people only work hard when in the office, or that emails= productivity. I'm at my most productive when I'm at home getting on with the fucking job, not sending an email to Mike to see if he fancies a brew in 10 minutes.
*disclaimer I'm never particularly productive.
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I've been on some corking stag dos to be fair; Oktoberfest in Munich, week in Portuguese villa, European tour of London.
Mine was a day at the races, a steak dinner and getting drunk in York (although we were the oldest people in the club, by about 20yrs).
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11 hours ago, Andrew said:
Last day of work and then I'm hopping on a plane to...England. Great.
28 hours on planes and 10 in airports, just fucking kill me now.I was sat beside two massive Kiwis on the flight from Singapore to London. For 13 1/2 hours I was pressed against the window like the last commuter squeezed on the Japanese underground.
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15 minutes ago, Gemmill said:
I can't bring myself to give Morgan the clicks.
It's entirely on brand for that prick to get someone with obvious mental health problems on his show to rack up ratings.
Same, I'll just wait for it to appear on some "Reaction" channel on youtube.
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22 minutes ago, Gemmill said:
That's a heck of a spin.
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25 minutes ago, Kevin Carr's Gloves said:
My grandfather died in a Nazi concentration camp.
He fell out a watchtower.
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29 minutes ago, wykikitoon said:
She could say certain parts are made up.
Victims of stalking ✅
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On 07/05/2024 at 11:37, Meenzer said:
Morning all. 👋
I'm not jealous at all.
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1 hour ago, Dazzler said:
Jeremy Vine is suing him for repeatedly calling him a nonce, and Aluko is suing him for making up shit about her family. Basically, he's fucked and we'll get to see him play to the gallery of white incels who hang out the back of him on gb news very soon.
It's good to see grifters like him and Fox getting sued into bankruptcy, but it's baffling that yet more grifters are lining up behind them despite the warning signs being clear as fucking day.
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12 hours ago, Howmanheyman said:
Fish's xP* is very high.
(Expected paragraphs)
Back off Paternity Leave now, aren't I?
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9 minutes ago, Gemmill said:
Their manager was top of Feyenoord's list if Slot had left for Spurs last summer. So he must have something about him.
Took them from 19th to 12th in about 10 games. You can see a downward trend in xGA, and and a nominal upward trend in xG across the season.
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26 minutes ago, Gemmill said:
Most of the outliers will be the ones Portuguese Freddie Mercury has pinged in from all areas.
He hasn't scored a single goal from what I've arbitrarily deemed a 'Good Chance'. They're all either Penalties or <0.25 xG.
Compare that to our top scorer
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2 hours ago, The Fish said:
I can't be arsed to do it right now, but I'd like to see, for each of Man Utd's goals, what value was given to the chance. I'd be pretty confident that they're scoring when they've no right to.
Ok, so a quick check and 38 of 52 (73%) Man Utd's goals come from chances valued at less than 0.35xG. Given a penalty is valued at 0.79xG I think it's safe to say that 0.35 counts as a half chance or worse.
To go further, lets say any chance valued less than 0.1 is No Chance, 0.1-0.39 is a Half Chance, 0.39-0.79 is a Good Chance, and anything better than 0.79 is a Sitter
By comparison, here's ours
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6 minutes ago, Renton said:
Because it's filtered on that website I think. The stupid cunts aren't fucking trusted to be grown ups.
Oh, will it scare off advertisers? More so than, say, bigotry and glamorising hooliganism?
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1 hour ago, Craig said:
And yet Man City continue without any sanction whatsoever. The arbitrary nature in which they've issued points deductions, partially rescinded them in the case of Everton and then added more is utterly ridiculous. Irrespective of who you support, no-one should be comfortable with this shit-show.
Everton have been handed a total of 12 deducted points this season. Luton are currently 11 points behind them and in the relegation places, if it finishes like that you can see Luton taking them to court. Utterly ridiculous.Forest and Everton have 1 or 2 pretty straight forwards cases to answer for. Man City have over a hundred. @LondonBlue has posted about it before, but it seems that neither party are interested in a swift resolution and so that's why it's dragging on.
Adjacent to that is the ridiculous timing of the points deductions and reinstatements. This should have been wrapped up in the summer, or by that weird half winter break thing we had. That way the teams around them know what they need to do. If this happens again next season, you could very well get a scenario where some bureaucrats relegate the team who finished 17th after the 18th placed side wins their appeal the week after the season ends. It's bullshit.
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Feels weird to be fine with selling the clubs second most prolific PL striker, but here we are.
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19 hours ago, Renton said:
They've really turned on the Frat kid, haven't they? Fucking hell, why would any sane person want to own that club, manage them, or even play for them? Never knew you could get £1500 notes mind.
Completely unimportant, but I've never understood why people post in faux-swears. Fugging, fecking and the like, unless it's to mock the potato botherers.
Fuck off.
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4 hours ago, PaddockLad said:
Yeah they’ve been hugely inconsistent so far this season. Forest would appear to be their hardest game but I wouldn’t bet against a highly motivated Bournemouth either 🤷🏻♂️Bournemouth have quietly improved throughout the season.
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14 hours ago, OTF said:
FYP
-CT Has left the Chat-
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4 hours ago, OTF said:
xPoints, xG etc will never be able to wholly accurately reflect the nuances of the game, the pressure, fatigue, makings of an injury that influence a forward as they prepare to take a shot. It's merely probability based modeling based on previous data for shots taken from similar areas with similar preceding action. No consideration for the quality or positioning of the keeper. Expected points is then an extrapolation based off xG. The fact that the reality is so much less predictable is why the game continues to be interesting. Villa have a quality GK (who's an unlikable dick) and a consistent team with forwards in form.
xG and xPts are just a way to represent the quality of chances made and allowed. What they show is that if one team is high up the table despite allowing more good chances than they make, that team's position is unsustainable. You mention Villa, they can only play that risky style effectively when Martinez is fit. So if he gets injured midgame, the wise and informed observer would do well to cash out before the inevitable collapse
xG doesn't tell the whole story, it can't. But it can give you insight without having to pore over hours of another team's games. The point of xG isn't to consider the quality of the player, his fatigue or anything like that. It's deliberately averaging out everyone from Beto to Batistuta. to give you a baseline from which you can judge a player (or a team).
Only the bottom 3 and West Ham give up more chances, the former are because they're not very good, the latter because they choose to play a counter-attack style which by it's very nature invites possession and opportunities around the West Ham box. Man Utd are bottom half for chances created too (behind the likes of Brentford and Everton.) Those two stats point to a problem with their style, it says to me that they're overreliant on their goalkeeper making unlikely saves, and over reliant on their outfield players scoring from unlikely chances. Their game against Liverpool e.g. they scored twice from 0.81xG and yet only conceded twice from 4.43xGA. Run that game 1000 times and Liverpool comfortably win it 900 times.
I can't be arsed to do it right now, but I'd like to see, for each of Man Utd's goals, what value was given to the chance. I'd be pretty confident that they're scoring when they've no right to.
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Jacob Murphy
in Newcastle Forum
Posted
In an Athletic piece about Liverpool's hunt for a new wide player.