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Rayvin

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Posts posted by Rayvin

  1. I think they're doing well cos they operate on a national level as opposed to many other (all?) taxi firms which are strictly local. So, if I go to London, I might not know any taxi companies there - but I do know Uber.

     

    Also CT, there's nothing we can really do about their tax situation while the government is as it is. If only we had a progressive government which might clamp down on this sort of thing...

  2. 3 out of the bottom 4 isn't bad.

     

    I suppose - it's just that the top 5 are all in perfect order. I guess that sort of supports the idea that the top clubs have managed a lot of the unpredictability out of the game. You'd probably need a wider sample of leagues to see how well it stacks up though, could be random.

  3. Thanks for more abuse Ewark, much appreciated and once again unnecessary, but at least you didn't call me a cunt again. You're really good at contributing positivity to a newish member, I can see why this forum is so busy!

     

    But yeah, in my opinion, if he wants out and he can't sell he's more likely to sell everything and wind up than hold on and lose money. The 100 mil write off would hurt him as much as a bee sting with his wealth.

     

    To be fair mate, it's rarely ever personal. This is just the tone of the forum. You get used to it, but you need to be thick skinned.

     

    Plus everyone's a bit higher strung than normal at the moment it seems.

  4. It's very simple when looked at with cold hard logic.

     

    Chances of Ashley selling if we stay up: 0

     

    Chances of Ashley selling if we go down: 50/50 if not immediately promoted, and only going to get higher the longer we stay down

     

    It amazes me just how many people seem to be relying on either blind hope, or worse, seem to be settling for a Ashley run club just because we'd be in the PL.

     

    This is it for me.

     

     

    Who would come in though? Surely Ashley's price for the club includes the 'debt' the club owes him?

     

    You're right in a sense, but if Ashley is losing money down in the Championship he might decide to sell cheap and cut his losses.

  5. I can see what you're saying but there's something or a herd mentality to gambling don't you think? Which isn't hugely rational. Also, the evidence I've seen is that most fans of other clubs are hugely ignorant to any specific information about ours. It would be like if you looked at the stock market and bought shares in a company based on the wider market trend for its industry, without looking at the actual specifics of the company you're investing in. Some sense there, granted, as the industry might be reporting strong performance - but by no means an accurate way of measuring the company in question. That's what outside fans are doing with our club.

     

    This metaphor might be a bit laboured, but still.

     

    I think it's been debated quite well on here. I looked at all of it as objectively as I felt I could, took a large lead from the form table, an entirely non-subjective performance measure (albeit you can argue that it depends on the teams you're playing), looked at the disharmony within the team, the options we had available for the game, and felt that we'd lose. I wasn't caught up in some wild negative spin about the club. I'm totally at peace with relegation because I think it's the only way to make Ashley think twice about what he's doing. Therefore, I don't think it was an emotive decision for me to come to (that we'd lose).

     

    This is all pretty irrelevant I guess - as I said, I understand the thinking that we'd at least get a draw. I disagree with the idea that it was the objectively likely result, but it's all immaterial really.

  6.  

    Disagree with that, I think they were much better in the 2nd half. Much more about them, they worked a lot harder. Almost like our goal freed them of the pressure of putting on a performance. :dunno:

     

    I think we invited the pressure though.

     

    We've not been comfortable grinding out 1-0 wins since Pardew took over from Hughton. Which is probably why I like Ben Arfa so much, the rest of the team might be trying to shut up shop & failing, but the sexy bastard would be fannying about with the ball trying to score a wonder goal.

     

    I thought after their second goal they did very little of consequence, and that we spent 20 minutes trying to mount an effective attack before finally putting on some pressure at the end out of sheer desperation.

     

    So maybe they had a 10 minute period I guess.

     

    Agree on the 1-0 wins problem. To be honest, I can see where you're coming from on the 1-1 draw, I would have gone for that once upon a time. It's just that from a club management point of view now, you can clearly see that everything has gone to shit.

  7.  

    The bookies had an away win as the most likely result. Not that it tells you everything but it is an indication of how most impartial observers saw the game going.

     

    I think this has been covered before, but betting patterns just reflect popular opinion don't they? 95% of the football community in this country would likely have expected us to put in a decent performance as we're playing for our skins and QPR are down.

     

    I understand that view for the impartial observer.

     

    It makes no sense when you look at actual form and the utter shambles that this club has been over the past few weeks though. The same people will likely think we'll beat West Ham next week. Do you think that's likely? I don't. I think we'll have our collective heads caved in.

  8. QPR have been shit all season, at least we knew that we were capable of a performance. That's why I thought we'd beat them.

     

    Fair enough, it was always possible that we'd suddenly let class show through. But you'd be hard pressed to argue that us getting any result other than a defeat here was 'likely'

     

    We're bottom on Form, I'm pretty sure QPR were 19th before they met us.

     

    However I expected us to get a point thanks to their heads dropping. Given they're relegated because they've lacked cohesion and commitment all season I didn't expect (and think that's reasonable) them to put up the fight they did. When Riviere put us ahead I honestly thought we'd get something from the game.

     

    They barely put up a fight at all - they were every bit as terrible as normal. We are just that bad at the moment that it didn't matter.

  9. Additional context:

     

    Carver had a public falling out with one of our players, the fans are turning on the club, we're riven with injuries, we tried to replace Carver and failed, he's lost the dressing room altogether and most importantly, none of the evidence from the previous games we'd played in the past few weeks suggested that we had any fight in us whatsoever.

     

    That said, none of this context makes us the worst team in the league. What makes us the worst team in the league is our recent form.

  10. Predicting a point away at the worst team in the league - "head in the clouds optimism"

     

    The team we are + Carver is considerably worse than the team we were + Pardew. The team we are + Carver is the worst team in the league. We should expect to lose to everybody in our current form.

     

    Not that I think a point was 'head in the clouds optimism' in truth, just not the most likely result if looked at objectively.

  11. Oh and Andy Burnham on the Andrew Marr Show was a poor today. Didn't have any vision of anything when pressed, apart from dancing to the beat of the UKIP drum on immigration. Nothing inspiring or useful from him when pressed about what he'd bring.

     

    That sounds totally standard for about every politician I've ever seen. Right down to immigration.

  12. All of this said mind, I still don't begrudge you having your opinion, especially not one that I shared a few weeks back. It's only MT who can rightly claim to have seen this coming.

     

    All you've done is cling to hope longer than anyone else - and you may still be right in the end. By the most slender of margins imaginable.

  13. The fact that it's been an unbelievable run of form that all but emotionally invested fans couldn't have predicted should tell you that your collective pessimism was in the face of what an objective observer would have predicted.

     

    The "Wuh shit man we'll fucking lode every game cos Wuh shit and that." Is mindless and that it has unfortunately come to pass doesn't mean those predicting catastrophe were somehow prescient. It just means that if you keep saying it'll rain, eventually you'll be right.

     

    The games we had should have delivered safety games ago. Looking at QPR's form, their players, their relegation, and everything else had bookies and pundits predicting we'd pick up a point.

     

    But it's obviously easier to wail & cry and predict doom, because nobody picks you up on it afterwards. Nobody predicted anything but a loss against West Brom, did they?

     

    All along I've said we'd stay up, not because we're any good, but simple that the other teams were equally shit or worse and we had accumulated enough of a cushion.

     

    People think that's "mindless" fine, but I've clearly considered it and come to the conclusion that Burnley and QPR would be relegated, leaving one spot left, and Hull, sunderland and Leicester were unlikely to all leapfrog us.

     

    Well, looking here, it remains unlikely that they will.

     

    But aye, I'm mindless and those who "predicted" a loss in every game are oracles.

     

    :lol:

     

    Up until very recently, I'd be inclined to agree that yeah, it was always extremely unlikely, from an outsider looking in - even to Ashley apparently - that it'd come to this. But in recent weeks you've been stating that we're going to pick up points etc, when our form has been the worst in the league by far. You've mentioned QPR's form there. It's been better than ours though, is the thing. We are, objectively, the worst team in the entire division.

     

    Also, it's not like people have been raving on here and slitting wrists etc - there's been frustration, but as you'll see in the 'should we go down' thread, quite a lot of people actually want us relegated.

     

    I can totally see that you've tried to look at this rationally - problem is, this club is nowhere near fucking rational.

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