Christmas Tree

Im pleased we agree I’m right at that it’s an opinion not fact. (Take note smileys above) Im not for one moment suggesting Brexit hasn’t damaged the economy, but bearing in mind we were forecast an immediate recession and punishment budget, he could have chosen to say how much better off we all are compared to his pre vote forecasts. ”Every household is £900 better off”. All it actually was, was a dead cat to keep the headlines of his inept interest rate rise forecasts.

Its not fact. You can’t say if Brexit didn’t happen we would have been at this point. It’s opinion. For someone supposedly doing economics you should know this Thats without even getting into the debate of how so many forecasts have been way out lately.

Which facts am I ignoring? There was no recession fact? Each Home is £900 worse off, opinion from a man whose forecasting record is poor.

Perfectly highlights we were right to dismiss claims of an immediate recession and just think how good the boom is going to be when we are out and the deals done, just in time for the general election. Brexit sorted, booming economy, NHS long term deal agreed, wages growing, record employment and Ruth Davidson v Corbyn

I’m not so sure. The EU have been progressing towards electronic frictionless borders for some time, even with third countries. The Irish government was actively participating in an electronic solution until Vlad took over. I think a lot of politics has got in the way in the hope that this would scupper Brexit and keep is in the EU. This backstop should see us out, we’ll implement as much technology and agreements that will cover 90% of issues and then no doubt resolve the final 10% pretty quickly.

But that’s the whole point of the backstop. It buys time to do the trade agreement and gives a few years for a better solution to be found. This keeps the pro Europe rebels happy and the brexiteers and allies May to move forward with the withdrawal bill and leaving in March. The EU will be happy knowing that it’s the default position unless something else is found. Once we’ve actually left next year and we are talking money and trade then I’m sure there will be more wiggle room on how we manage customs. Its a bit of a win win for all but the most extreme brexiteers / leavers.

Loving this new data law and all these random emailers I’ve agreed to over the years now having to re apply for permission to bother me.

Well there is no “factual basis” for what will transpire, just best guesses at this stage. As for being happy with it, the goal right now is to is to get the withdrawal agreement through parliament in time for next March when we leave. If this backstop achieves that then Im happy. The Irish issue will then be settled for a few years and we can finalise the trade deal.

Thats the sort of people I’m talking about. People like John Lansman of Momentum and the unions. These are the people who shored Corbyn up when he wanted to quit two years ago and are the people who will eventually tap him on the shoulder.

No, the men in grey suits come to visit and tell Jezza “its time to move over, for the good of the cause”. Surely you dont think the Corbyn / McDonnell ticket will still be around in 4 years time?

https://t.co/NzXSRyVoNE

The serious people behind the curtain who call the shots and want power. Part of the Tories success is that they can be ruthless in changing their leader. Corbyn was a novelty at the time, rode the success of the “moneytree” manifesto but was pretty unpopular prior to the manifesto launch and is still fairly unpopular against the Maybot still. They should give him a party chairman type role and let a fresh face loose on May.

The word on the eventual backstop is that Northern Ireland will remain in a single market for goods and that the U.K. as a whole will remain in a customs union.

Madness they don’t replace him now and take a proper fight to the government.

And imagine if it’s Ruth Davidson v Corbyn? Goodnight Vienna.

No one is worried about a tiny amount of smuggling across a very open border. It will just be dealt with by police rather than customs. As people see that Brexit has happened and the world hasn’t stopped, investment in the U.K. is growing, the economy is rising and the New Tory PM is splashing preelection bribes around, nobody will want to revisit EU membership. Its over.

No it’s not.

Had a lovely lad in the car from Hedworth today who is also a rope dangler, currently working on the new Sunderland bridge. Guessing it’s probably a small community I considered moving the small talk onto your good self, however, “do you know monkeys Fist”, didn’t seem to be a sensible way forward If only I hadn’t deleted that email from you. I even considered going down the descriptive route of “looks like that bloke who does the home improvement shows on TV” but again thought better of it.

I must admit I think the pendulum has swung back in Brexits favour. I was getting a bit frustrated a week or two ago, but now the backstop seems to be agreed, it’s all systems go. Harping on about hard Brexit is pointless as nobody wants it and there is no majority for it. Once again dogged Theresa seems to have reeled in the likes of Boris and is heading for a 3rd consecutive EU agreement that puts the Irish issue to bed until long after we’ve left. Even the 12 or so Tory rebels are fairly happy with the new backstop. I think once she gets the actual deal agreed she will find herself with a very pleasing Brexit package that most Labour MP’s can get behind and it will sail through parliament.

Venezuela 1 months wage = 3 bags of rice

In a sense he’s correct. No 2 please Bob

Perfect end to my favourite film

Well I fucking loved it you miserable fuckers.

Very nice. Talking of hairy maidens, a friend directed me to a remastered copy of Babyface, the first porn film I can remember hiring from the video shop aged 13, much to the delight of my gang Hairy muffs everywhere.