Gemmill 63200 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 I didn't do that. You asked me (AGAIN) for an explanation. I gave it to you and in response I got a fucking critique of my explanation. Try fucking remember it this time, CUNTFACE! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaddockLad 22498 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 9 minutes ago, Gemmill said: I didn't do that. You asked me (AGAIN) for an explanation. I gave it to you and in response I got a fucking critique of my explanation. Try fucking remember it this time, CUNTFACE! ok, is xg the same as xpoints? I said earlier I didn’t want to spoil your daily opportunity to be patronising but I didn’t expect you to react this badly after I gave you the opportunity xpoints is a different thing, you didn’t need to explain xg, you could’ve just explained how they’re related like a normal person. Sorry to trouble you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gemmill 63200 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 If you'd asked a different question, I'd have answered that, aye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaddockLad 22498 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 I asked how is xpoints calculated… here endeth the lesson 🙏🏻 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gemmill 63200 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 And I told you. For about the 7th time. You're welcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OTF 10613 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 2 hours ago, Gemmill said: For probably the 7th time.... Take each shot or header with an XG value for both teams. Each shot/header is considered standalone, so a 0.10xg shot, would result in a goal in 10% if the simulations. Run that through a model 10,000 times. Each time you do it, that simulation has a specific match result. Then you multiply out the percentages of the results. So if Newcastle win 60%, draw 30%, and lose 10%, it's: 60% x 3 points = 1.80 30% x 1 point = 0.30 10% x 0 points = 0.00 Total xP = 2.10 It's a good system cos it takes into account quality of chances. If you have a team that has 10 shots on target, all with 0.10xG, you'd expect no goal from those 90% of the time (for each shot). So running that through the model vs a team that had 4 shots each with 0.25xG. Total xG for each team is 1xG. But the model will spit out different results because it considers the probabilities on a chance by chance basis, rather than just adding them up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thebrokendoll 14245 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 unbelievable. gemmill has done a toonpack and killed the message board for the day. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gemmill 63200 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 Toonpack, arrest this man. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toonpack 15593 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 5 minutes ago, thebrokendoll said: unbelievable. gemmill has done a toonpack and killed the message board for the day. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Howmanheyman 43933 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 "Fucking geddoff'iz you fucking bizzie cunt, whaddiva done?" "Sir, I'm arresting you for a serious breach of not taking xG, xP and any other exes that gemmill mentions seriously. You do not have to say anything. But, it may harm your defence if you do not mention when questioned something which you later rely on in court. Anything you do say may be given in evidence when ewerk dredges it up from his extensive toontastic database." 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaddockLad 22498 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 5 minutes ago, Howmanheyman said: "Fucking geddoff'iz you fucking bizzie cunt, whaddiva done?" "Sir, I'm arresting you for a serious breach of not taking xG, xP and any other exes that gemmill mentions seriously. You do not have to say anything. But, it may harm your defence if you do not mention when questioned something which you later rely on in court. Anything you do say may be given in evidence when ewerk dredges it up from his extensive toontastic database." And let’s face it, Gemma has more x’s than most on here 😀 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gemmill 63200 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 Only cos you waited til you were 60 to get married. Only a matter of time now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Howmanheyman 43933 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 "Gemmill v The Broken Doll, xDs (divorces) Vs xBOs (Banning orders) Moveable object Vs Stoppable Force And IT'S LIVE!!!" 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaddockLad 22498 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 1 hour ago, Gemmill said: Only cos you waited til you were 60 to get married. Only a matter of time now... Well it’s not good to rush into these things, as you illustrate beautifully 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gemmill 63200 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 1 minute ago, PaddockLad said: Well it’s not good to rush into these things, as you illustrate beautifully One day soon, you'll have had an argument, and she'll walk past one of your wedding photos in the hall, stop in her tracks, and actually say out loud "Did that cheeky cunt REALLY turn up like that to our wedding? IT'S OVER!" Divorce papers will follow by the end of the day. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wykikitoon 28542 Posted February 24 Author Share Posted February 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dougle 4598 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 (edited) Some fair points but he bloody rambles on far longer than needed'. Fuck me they even turned the lights out on him, like at last orders in a pub in the eighties. Edited February 24 by Dougle 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aimaad22 6001 Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 8 hours ago, Gemmill said: I didn't do that. You asked me (AGAIN) for an explanation. I gave it to you and in response I got a fucking critique of my explanation. Try fucking remember it this time, CUNTFACE! The exEXPLANATION must be through the roof by now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wykikitoon 28542 Posted February 25 Author Share Posted February 25 I was thinking about our drop off in the second half whilst on the bus this morning. I wonder (I doubt it, but a possible theory) if Howe has said not to be as intense as we have a game tomorrow and the final on the horizon so no injuries etc. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holden McGroin 9903 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 It’s possible. We got a lot of injuries from running full belt for 3 games a week last season. The problem is we don’t have the setup to suddenly drop intensity yet keep the ball. Perhaps that is what Eddie is trying to work towards but we really struggle to just keep possession. We don’t have the GK or the defence to do it. Liverpool have moved away from the Klopp hard press and seem to just control games more now without ever picking up any injuries. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thebrokendoll 14245 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 1 hour ago, wykikitoon said: I was thinking about our drop off in the second half whilst on the bus this morning. I wonder (I doubt it, but a possible theory) if Howe has said not to be as intense as we have a game tomorrow and the final on the horizon so no injuries etc. was a topic of discussion and a theory put forward in our post match analysis on the way home on sunday. obviously though most of the conversation that occupied the majority of the journey was centered on xp's, xg's, percentages and how many times you needed to run the model to gain the most accurate result. we all agreed in the end on about 10.000. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gemmill 63200 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 I can only imagine how licked clean the inside of the car windows are by the time you and your mates reach your destination. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJS 5298 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 2 hours ago, Holden McGroin said: It’s possible. We got a lot of injuries from running full belt for 3 games a week last season. The problem is we don’t have the setup to suddenly drop intensity yet keep the ball. Perhaps that is what Eddie is trying to work towards but we really struggle to just keep possession. We don’t have the GK or the defence to do it. Liverpool have moved away from the Klopp hard press and seem to just control games more now without ever picking up any injuries. I know it's an anarchic suggestion which might be painful but maybe we dropped off because Forest are a decent team who upped their game. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaddockLad 22498 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 4 minutes ago, Gemmill said: I can only imagine how licked clean the inside of the car windows are by the time you and your mates reach your destination. Your fuckin stats still haven’t relegated Everton, even with a points deduction 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gemmill 63200 Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 17 minutes ago, PaddockLad said: Your fuckin stats still haven’t relegated Everton, even with a points deduction Get in that motor with the rest of them! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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