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The chance isn't harder. The chance is the same. It's the executor of the chance that's different. You can tac on explanations why that chance wasn't taken and include pressure or lack of ability, but the chance is what the xG model is reporting. The model isn't there to explain why the chance was or wasn't taken. It's there to say that team A created more good opportunities to score than team B, but they didn't spend money on a striker so they're out of the Champions League. Player A has fuck all assists but has been creating really good chances for his team to score from, it's just that his teammates are useless. Player B is scoring more goals than you'd expect given the chances that come to him, if he's good he'll keep doing it, if he's just been lucky it'll regress to the mean. Team C has conceded the fewest goals so far, but that's due to their 'keeper pulling off world class saves, and profligacy from their opponents Not sure if they clock the speed of the pass (it's definitely doable and I'd argue that that's valuable information). They definitely record which foot (stronger or weaker) it comes to. Quick google and yes, they do consider the speed of the pass.

I see your Sullivans and raise you Neighbours

Aye, on mumsnet

Shouldn't this be in the 'General Housewives' thread?

Hang on. You mean to tell me that daughter isn't pronounced dafter? No wonder the bairn hates me. Also had no clue it was pronounced law-ter. I've been a proper lawing stock for years because of this.

An xRh of only 0.42 for that I'd reckon?

Rhyming daughters with laughter by the way. Outrageous. Just cos they're spelled similar.

... And also where after the faffing about they straighten themselves up with a serious look for the photograph being taken.

I couldn't agree more.

I've an EV and it's great and cheap to run so Clarkson and co can swivel.

The reason there's an edit on my Sons and Daughters post is cos the first draft was The Sullivans. I can still picture the opening credits from Sons and Daughters where the lad nicks the cap off someone's head and runs up the street. My gran watched it every day.

I raise you the Sullivans.

The Top Gear crew thoroughly dismantling the whole idea of "electric vehicles" itt.

How would you like to replace it with Sons and Daughters?

I now have (what I think was) the theme tune to that was in my head. Cheers.

That's what the show Flying Doctors was all about.

Are you suggesting I'm God?

As with all stats you can manipulate the presentation to suit whatever narrative you like. Which is why I won't give it any airtime.

this is pretty much why i hate modelling data. i can be a little obsessive with perfection. let me just tweak the model and run it through again.

Racist!

I suppose the difference is, it doesn't affect the team they're playing for in the tournament.

Most likely the clubs participating are bitching that they're unable to be involved in business and therefore arguing they're at a disadvantage. Fairly certain that participation is elective and not mandatory though.